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Andrew Heard's avatar

Since this one involved suggestions from the audience and a claim focused on aliens, I'm going to suggest a claim to explore at a future Spectrum Street Epistemology.

"The problem with giving people the freedom to choose is that sometimes they make the wrong one." - Odo, Star Trek: Deep Space Nine

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Steve's avatar

Got Some REAL Bad News

Probability Estimate for Attaining the Necessary Characteristics for a Life Support Body

https://reasons.org/explore/publications/articles/probability-for-life-on-earth

© 2004 Reasons To Believe (update)

(Snip)

Probability for occurrence of all 322 parameters ≈ 10-388

(Snip)

Maximum possible number of life support bodies in universe ≈ 1022

(Snip)

Thus, less than 1 chance in 10282

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